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MANIFOLD
will the 60 mana median bid market reach 300 traders? [PLUS BOUNTY?!?]
26
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved May 17
Resolved
NO

See market:

/BryantYu/will-the-median-of-the-bids-on-this

ADDED BONUS: For traders on this market, if you are holding 61 mana or more of YES shares on the linked market, I will send you 63 mana as a thanks, and 61 more mana for each referral you bring to the cause. i'll send it over after the main market closes!

  • Update 2025-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * To receive the 63 mana bounty: The required 61+ mana YES share position on the linked market must be held until the main market closes.

  • Update 2025-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To meet the Ṁ61 YES share requirement for the bounty, this refers to the mana spent to acquire the YES shares currently held in the linked market. A position resulting from less than Ṁ61 mana spent on currently held YES shares is insufficient.

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Bounty timeeeeeeee
26 traders on this market, alongside their amount spent on the main market:
@kbot - no position - no bounty
@Robincvgr - Spent Ṁ2275 - bounty awarded!
@256 - Spent Ṁ3 - no bounty
@zsig - Spent Ṁ1881 - bounty awarded
@noney - Spent Ṁ9,355 - bounty awarded
@RKCarn - Spent Ṁ140 - bounty awarded
@robert - Spent Ṁ151 - bounty awarded
@tobiasscheuer - Spent Ṁ1,333 - bounty awarded
@HillaryClinton - Spent Ṁ0 - no bounty
@BrianJohns - Spent Ṁ2,100 - bounty awarded
@spiderduckpig - Spent Ṁ881 - bounty awarded
@windysoup - Spent Ṁ61 - bounty awarded
@Sketchy - no position - no bounty
@yeeta - Spent Ṁ77 - bounty awarded
@VonGadke - Spent Ṁ72 - bounty awarded
@bagelfan - Spent Ṁ4,601 - bounty awarded
@rrc08 - Spent Ṁ61 - bounty awarded
@Primer - Spent Ṁ53 - bounty awarded for the effort 😭
@ZandaZhu - Spent Ṁ5,594 - bounty awarded
@DylanF - Spent Ṁ1 - no bounty
@polymathematic - Spent Ṁ120 - bounty awarded
@nikthink - Spent Ṁ169 - bounty awarded
@LiamZ - Spent Ṁ1,816 - bounty awarded
@Dagonet - Spent Ṁ29 - no bounty
@PeterKing - Spent Ṁ61 - bounty awarded
@nikki - Spent Ṁ41,851 - bounty awarded

250 in YES

Hi there, can I get some of the stuff offered here, even tho i'm one of the people offering bounties on the main bet...?

@LZ anyone meeting the 61 mana position requirement, that bet on this market, will get the bounty! you receive it once the main market closes, as long as you hold your 61+ mana position til the end.

bought Ṁ20 YES

Holding Ṁ62 on Yes in the referenced market until market closes.

@Primer

hey uh

You're actually only holding 53... Do you mind spending 8 more mana, so you can contribute to the YES side?

LZ is correct, as it is in that screenshot you haven't spent enough to receive the bounty! thank you nonetheless for being on the right side (in intention, if not in current execution)

@Bayesian omg, I'm so stupid 😅

bought Ṁ2 YES

Holding M77 on the main market so far

bought Ṁ3 YES

for bonus

commenting here so I get my payout from you when the main market closes. But I'm not playing the defection games. I have some honor.

what defection game, i'm not following

@Bayesian maybe you need to update your priors less and update your MRH (Manifold Recent History) books a lil more, big baller

@No_uh but you have forgotten to consider that my brain is smol and i have no idea what this means

@Bayesian lolll I am just probably making my silly comment on the wrong market. Because this one doesn't entail any defection, but in the past 12-24 hours a lot of markets/bounties encouragaing defection from YES to NO and the reverse have been cropping up, all for little grubs to suck up spare mana from some of the big Manifold players. Nikki, Evan, etc.

it was probably the wrong place to reference the defection nonsense here lol. my B, that's my bad. i am the smol brain

oh yeah that makes sense now thank yuo for the explanation

i don't get why they don't do like me and just give the bounty once the market resolves so there's no reason to defect back and forth

@Bayesian lol I agree. I even commented as such in Evan's original original comment on the 60 median market.

His response also gave me a good laugh

holding and I referred some of the top holders so they can incentivize

@spiderduckpig Epic! Im wondering if anything would help folks with the motivation to refer new people to the market to be on the side of the righteous

bought Ṁ25 YES

@Bayesian Maybe letting the market price drop and removing limit orders, or reposting to followers

@Bayesian Additionally you can also try to fill evan's limit orders on other markets to remove his remaining balance

will keep holding till the end

bought Ṁ20 NO

Holding 1333 mana investment yes till the end

boughtṀ50NO

@robert if you want the bounty, make sure you bet 61 mana or more in the main market

i'm not gonna comment on it further but if you sell shares or buy NO, then your amount spent will no longer be 61 mana or more and the bounty won't apply