Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027?
40
Ṁ1kṀ9.9k2027
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A year from now (market creation date)
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves YES if mathematicians widely agree the proof is probably valid by the deadline. Resolves NO if mathematicians are widely uncertain, skeptical, or do not consider it solved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
38% chance
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
26% chance
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
20% chance
When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?
2035
Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?
9% chance
Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?
17% chance
Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)
83% chance
Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?
13% chance
Will go be solved before 2040?
7% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance
Sort by:
@0xseraphim i'm thinking we know it when we see it but do you have a case in mind where you'd find this ambiguous
@Bayesian a very long proof written by an AI. Or a proof that uses new mathematics people are unfamiliar with.
@0xseraphim if the mathematicians get around to widely agreeing the proof is probably valid by the deadline it counts, if they are very uncertain or skeptical or widely don’t consider it solved it wouldn’t
People are also trading
Related questions
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
38% chance
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
26% chance
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
20% chance
When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?
2035
Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?
9% chance
Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?
17% chance
Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)
83% chance
Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?
13% chance
Will go be solved before 2040?
7% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance