Will LLMs be worse than human level at forecasting when they are superhuman at most things? | Manifold

Will LLMs be worse than human level at forecasting when they are superhuman at most things?

13

1kṀ471

2030

41%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to my personal opinion, unless @SemioticRivalry disagrees.

Feel free to ask for clarification about what is meant in the comment but I'll likely keep it vague to resolve to the spirit of the question if precise definitions might take away from that

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