Will Alphafold 4 be announced in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ206Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any announcement along the lines of https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-deepmind-isomorphic-alphafold-3-ai-model/ (but for alphafold 4) resolves this market YES.
For example, it may start with:
Introducing AlphaFold 4, [...]
The announcement must be made by Google, Alphabet, Google Deepmind, or a related entity.
If Alphafold 4 hasn't been announced before 2025, resolves NO.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-alphafold-4-be-announced-in-20 (this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Alphafold 4 be announced in 2025?
62% chance
Will the Alphafold 2 paper reach 30,000 citations in 2024?
30% chance
When will AlphaFold 4 be announced?
Will gpt4.5 be released by 2025?
24% chance
Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?
37% chance
Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028
45% chance
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?
55% chance
Will Apple announce a foldable phone or tablet before 2027?
33% chance
Will Dalle-4 release before 2025?
20% chance
Will GPT 5 be realeased in Beta by EOY 2024?
16% chance