Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, before Jan 20 2029?
7
1kṀ2070
2029
10%
chance

This market merely requires that both Russian and American official channels (gov announcements count, including on eg twitter, a press conference, etc.) announce a joint plan to build a bridge or tunnel or similar kind of permanent crossing between Russia and Alaska.


If no such announcement occurs before January 20, 2029, this market resolves NO.

See also

World
News
United States
Ukraine-Russia war
Russia
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ50 YES at 5% order

I'm thinking this goes to the YES. Please fill my order.

if you loan me the manas until jan 20 2029 at 0 interest rate i'll fill u

People are also trading

Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, in 2025?
4% chance
Will Russia confront USA by the end of 2029?
20% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
85% chance
Will there be any Russian attacks or troop deployments in Alaska before eoy2025?
6% chance
US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
29% chance
Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?
12% chance
Will there be another exchange of 10+ prisoners between the US and Russia by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?
21% chance
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
71% chance
Will Russia be the de facto ruling power of the North Pole by 2027?
13% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules