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MANIFOLD
When will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married?
41
Ṁ1.4kṀ14k
resolved Jul 9
Resolved
NO
Before October 2025
Resolved
NO
Before September 2025
Resolved
NO
Before November 2025
Resolved
NO
Before December 2025
Resolved
NO
Before 2026
Resolved
NO
Before February 2026
Resolved
NO
Before March 2026
Resolved
NO
Before April 2026
Resolved
NO
Before May 2026
Resolved
NO
Before June 2026
Resolved
NO
Before July 2026
Resolved
YES
Before August 2026
Resolved
YES
Before September 2026
Resolved
YES
Before October 2026

  • Update 2025-10-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "Before [Month]" means the marriage must occur prior to the first day of that month.

Music Artists
Taylor Swift
Kansas City Chiefs
Marriage
Travis Kelce
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All can resolve @Bayesian
Thanks

bought Ṁ60 NO

Some can resolve

bought Ṁ614 NO

@Bayesian 4 can resolve?

bought Ṁ360 NO

@Bayesian another couple can resolve.

bought Ṁ10 NO

To clarify - does “before” imply before the first day of that month?

@RebeccaLively Yeah

in general ‘month’ is a range not a point in time, and ‘before range’ means before the range starts. A range is (time0, time1) with time0 being the time the range starts and time1 being the time the range ends. ‘In time’ is a type error, ‘in range’ means after time0 and before time1. ‘By time’ is before time, ‘by range’ is linguistically ambiguous. More at https://manifold.markets/post/frequent-market-terms-recommended-d?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Bayesian "before september 2025" and "before october 2025" can resolve NO

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