Frequent Market Terms' Recommended Definitions
Sep 5, 2025

[WORK IN PROGRESS] You are more than welcome to contribute in the comments by asking for words to be added, or proposing definitions / workshopping current defs.

announces

  1. (by an org / company / group, of a product): The entity, or an official representative or partner, makes an official public statement about the product, beyond vague references / hints / teasers.

  2. (by an person, of a statement or fact): The person says the statement or fact in a publicly verifiable way. eg. "Will Elon Musk announce he doesn't plan to have more children in 2025"

releases

  1. (by an entity, of a product): The entity makes the product accessible to members of the public in at least some region. This excludes a closed beta.

by [time]. Warning: If timezone differences may be material to the resolution, they must be specified.

  1. by [specific moment]: The event must have happened before that specific moment. eg. by March 23, 11:59 PM ET. A useful way to specify a moment is to say "start of [date range]" (eg. by start of 2026) or "end of [date range]" (eg. by EOY 2025).

  2. by [day]: We recommend not using this term (use "before" or "in" instead). Meaning must be inferred from likely intend of market creator. eg. usually, "by March 31" == "Before April" == "by April 1st"

  3. by [year]: We recommend not using this term. The market's "close time" may indicate what the market creator intended.

before [date range]

  1. The event must have happened before the start of the date range.

in [date range]

  1. The event must happen between the start and end of the date range.

win

  1. (Of a professional cycling race or stage): Defaults to the winner declared on the day at the podium celebration after the race. Later disqualification or alteration of the results (the same day, next day, or any time in the future) would not change the resolution.

AGI (or Artificial General Intelligence)

  1. a totally unserious term whose use should result in the market being unranked and treated as a meme market

furry

  1. An individual who demonstrably likes to dress as some animal(s) OR demonstrably identifies as a furry

reputable news source

(edited)

@Thomas42 plus extra fun stuff like what if it was 'hacked' or rogue employee or otherwise retracted, etc. etc. etc.

I don't want to need to spell out every edge case every time.

@Thomas42 This might help, even allows for laxer standards if wished, by specifying which checkmark or better is required. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Reliable_sources/Perennial_sources

AGI

@jim any recommendations?

@Bayesian a totally unserious term whose use should result in the market being unranked and treated as a meme market

@jim based ok i'll add

What/who is a furry?

"individuals who like to dress up as animals"? but that's not exactly verifiable, maybe there's better? preferably something that is in most cases publicly verifiable

@Bayesian is self identification necessary or sufficient?

@Eliza stating self-identification would be sufficient i think. not necessary bc some ppl that show many straightforward and public signs of being furries may have not verbalized it and it would be dumb for a market to resolve unintuitively bc of that

@Bayesian what about the furries that are just in it for the porn?

@NivlacM hmmm "or attracted to other individuals because of the fact that they dress up as animals"? idrk

Win a professional cycling race or stage: Defaults to the winner declared on the day at the podium celebration after the race. Later disqualification or alteration of the results (the same day, next day, or any time in the future) would not change the resolution.

I'm thinking a single term can have multiple definitions depending on the context? like announce (of a company) has to be official or wtv but announce (of a person) is just if they say the thing, even in an unofficial context? stuff like that

in other words your def is good and might be best placed under the category of "win" in the subsection "of a professional cycling race or stage" or wtv

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