Will Taylor Swift divorce Travis Kelce within 5 years? | Manifold

Will Taylor Swift divorce Travis Kelce within 5 years?

21

100Ṁ246

2030

58%

chance

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Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves YES if Swift and Kelce divorce within the market's timeframe, regardless of who initiates the divorce (e.g., YES even if Kelce initiates).

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@creator does "within 5 years" mean within 5 years after they are married? Or within 5 years after this market was created (the current market close date)?

bought Ṁ20 NO

Also, could you clarify how this resolves if they split and it's widely reported/believed that Kelce initiated the divorce?

@jcb the market close date

@jcb still resolves yes if kelce initiated

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