When will Sam Altman become a member of the Board at OpenAI?
25
1.1kṀ16kresolved Mar 8
100%99.8%
First half of 2024
0.0%
Altman becomes CEO and board member at the same time
0.0%
November 2023 (not at the same time as becoming CEO)
0.0%
December 2023
0.0%
Second half of 2024
0.2%
Not member of the Board by the end of 2024
If Altman leaves OpenAI and doesn’t join the board, or the board no longer exists at that time, resolves NO
No option except the first depend on whether Altman is otherwise employed at OpenAI. For example, if he is not employed at OpenAI as a CEO or employee, but is a board member, this market resolves YES.
“The board” refers to the 501(c)(3) non-profit board
I will not bet on this market
Don't buy the options that have already passed, as they cannot resolve YES (unless, admittedly, it is revealed that Sam Altman became a member of the Board and it stayed unannounced for weeks or months)! I cannot resolve them early unfortunately.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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