What will the upcoming pivot entail? (linked market, specific things only)
#Manifold
30
295
Ṁ2.1k
resolved Apr 23
100%92%
adding a real-money currency (or directly convertible to one)
0.3%
introducing guilds
0.4%
manifold for business / networking
0.3%
partnership with singapore
0.4%
partnership with streaming platform
0.2%
partnership with social media platform
0.1%
focusing on betting markets designed for primarily ai / bot participation
0.3%
partner program revamp/expansion
0.1%
letting users claim the deduction from their charitable donations
0.1%
adding crypto
0.2%
poker sweepstakes
0.3%
manifold careers
0.1%
Manifold social
0.2%
Manifold Sports
0.2%
Manifold Casino
0.1%
Removing All Bots
0.2%
A fursona
5%Other

specific enough that nobody would want to say something much more specific that's a subcategory of an existing option

May resolve to a percentage. If ambiguous, will consult Moderator opinion

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bought Ṁ700 adding a real-money ... YES

@Bayesian is this market able to resolve yet? It looks like Ammon resolved his:

@Arky yeah, thanks

@Bayesian I think the "partner program revamp/expansion" answer should have resolved at least partially yes, from the Pivot announcement:

We haven’t decided on the exact contours yet, but the Partner Program will undergo significant changes in line with this announcement.

This isn't the pivot, but is a specific thing mentioned in this market that is expected to occur as part of the pivot once implemented.

Note: I do not have any stake in this market.

adding a real-money currency (or directly convertible to one)
bought Ṁ100 adding a real-money ... NO

Unless they managed to get CFTC approval like Kalshi I think this would probably get Manifold shut down.

they seem to be taking the gamble

A fursona

okay hear me out (a mascot isn't out of the realm of possibility!) 🐈‍⬛

https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/will-manifold-markets-have-a-furson

manifold for business / networking

idk if this is close enough to manifold career, whatcha all think

focusing on betting markets designed for primarily ai / bot participation
bought Ṁ50 focusing on betting ... NO

good idea, sounds fun, though bots probably aren't good enough rn

bought Ṁ10 partnership with sin... NO

Good market!

@Joshua and makes it clear nobody knows LOL

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