Non-AI catastrophe before 2100?
7
1kṀ1106
2099
23%
chance

Operationalised as 1billion or more people dying in a 365 day range that ends before 2100, conditional on there not being any AGI created before 2100

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opened a Ṁ2 YES at 25% order

That's a fitting name to bet yes on this question.

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