Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 12 (April)
Manifold Leagues
16
176
Ṁ2.2K
May 3
99%
Someone profits 40k+ mana from a single market
98.2%
It takes >10k to stay in Masters
97%
At the end of the season, no Diamond league cohort has fewer than 5 members
95%
non-bot user outside of Masters League would have been top 5 in the Masters League
90%
6k mana earned is enough to promote in some diamond league
88%
Mana earned needed for top 10 is higher than last season (26431)
84%
15k+ mana earned is needed to promote in some diamond league
81%
5 or more people in Master finish the season with negative mana earned
80%
≥3 of 5 in Masters top 5 is same as in March
78%
Someone earns 100k+ mana
77%
The cutoff to stay in Masters is higher than it was last month (>Ṁ18,615)
59%
The full display name of the user ranked 13th in Masters has a vowel as its second letter
52%
At least 3 of the top 5 in Masters are named Chris (or Christopher)
43%
Winner has never won Masters before
33%
It takes >20k to stay in Masters
32%
Top 10 of Masters League has more combined trader bonuses than combined profits
29%
More than 33.0% of Mana earned is from Trader bonuses for #1 in Masters
20%
Someone earns 150k+ mana
8%
Someone who was top 5 Masters in March gets demoted
1.4%
@Unown promotes to Masters

Add anything about manifold leagues you can think of!

I give myself the right to N/A any option that is spammy, not about manifold leagues, etc.

Make sure to distinguish:

Profits, League profits, Mana Earned
Quests, Boosts, Trader Bonuses

Whether an option refers to human users or includes bots

And otherwise, to be as unambiguous as possible.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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6 Comments
13 Holders
150 Trades
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Someone profits 40k+ mana from a single market
bought Ṁ80 Someone profits 40k+... YES

this option might not resolve until end of the month in case it N/As or something but for reference the market in pic closed & Ammon had >40k profit

non-bot user outside of Masters League would have been top 5 in the Masters League
bought Ṁ100 non-bot user outside... YES

Seems extremely likely that we'll get this from a user in bronze lol https://manifold.markets/leagues/12/bronze/quantum-centaurs/WA06lg9tNkZlQXNEIGNHwd7LmtB2

@Ziddletwix What's the context here... how did this user earn Ṁ94,000 in referrals? From a quick search of their handle I didn't find any notable social media presence?

@mint They were part of the Jasontheween flood—dunno the details beyond that, but that’s why the tons of referrals

Someone who was top 5 Masters in March gets demoted

this won't count Joshua if he's out of Leagues presumably

@Bayesian I agree, not a demotion even if he's not in the league.

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