Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 13 (May)
Basic
19
Ṁ9735
resolved Jun 2
Resolved
YES
Someone profits 60k+ mana from a single market
Resolved
YES
non-bot user outside of Masters League would have been top 5 in the Masters League
Resolved
YES
Someone who was top 5 Masters in April gets demoted
Resolved
YES
The cutoff to stay in Masters is higher than it was last month (>Ṁ17,734)
Resolved
YES
20k+ mana earned is needed to promote in some diamond league
Resolved
YES
Mana needed to promote to Masters in the Cryptic Titans diamond cohort will be higher than the mana needed to stay in Masters
Resolved
NO
Someone in Platinum earns more than the cutoff to stay in Masters
Resolved
NO
Someone earns 200k+ mana
Resolved
NO
Winner has never won Masters before
Resolved
NO
≥3 of 5 in Masters top 5 is same as in April
Resolved
NO
It takes >30k to stay in Masters
Resolved
NO
It takes >40k to stay in Masters
Resolved
NO
More than 33.0% of Mana earned is from Trader bonuses for #1 in Masters
Resolved
NO
Top 10 of Masters League has more combined trader bonuses than combined profits
Resolved
NO
5 or more people in Master finish the season with negative mana earned
Resolved
NO
Mana earned needed for Masters' top 10 is higher than last season (>Ṁ30,889)
Resolved
NO
6k mana earned is enough to promote in some diamond league
Resolved
NO
The top two Diamond League users by mana earned are both in the Cryptic Titans cohort

Add anything about manifold leagues you can think of!

I give myself the right to N/A any option that is spammy, not about manifold leagues, etc.

Make sure to distinguish:

Profits, League profits, Mana Earned
Quests, Boosts, Trader Bonuses

Whether an option refers to human users or includes bots

And otherwise, to be as unambiguous as possible.

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I welcome anyone to take this over if they want to, and if nobody takes it up i'll probably make a similar market with less starting options tomorrow

bought Ṁ50 NO

I’ll only resolve once im on laptop and can verify things, mb for that delay

bought Ṁ100 NO

this was surprisingly close actually—3 of the top 6 IIUC

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-nvidia-close-above-1138-on-may
is resolved with houstonEuler profit of Ṁ112,837

Why does feed show me this as “related market”

@SemioticRivalry is pretty close on the Trump VP market. Just needs more people to bet NO on Vance:

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Vance should actually be under 10%

bought Ṁ250 NO

this is funny - Chrisleague!

@shankypanky i was proud to earn silver in the (less competitive) Non-Chris league

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