Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date

Question

The '+' means any version at or above K3.2 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.2 and releases Kimi K3.3 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market. Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3.2, will also count.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

@8AyI5Np5yl

@OchSUnInIq

@2OzL6Q56y8

@2CqdhIO9cU

@AzzEpzA8ys

@ntStglnQz0

@RlI6hyuNpU

@2Rh2t5hALp

@NONz6Ntycp

@l9lRst5288

@ORA9UAlgdI

@QL5hAdgQld

@8d2z2tUgsu

@5lA5APSyPy (this market)

@shslZstnCN

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before April 2027, followed by Before March 2027 and Before February 2027 are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Oct 28, 2026).

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