Resolves YES if Jensen Huang is POTY or part of a POTY group
Resolves NO if Pope Leo is POTY or part of a POTY group
Resolves N/A otherwise (or if both of the above requirements are triggered, eg the POTY group is "humans" or "tech entrepreneurs and religious figures" lol)
Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Time's Person of the Year is "Artificial Intelligence" (or similar concept), this will NOT be considered a group that includes Jensen Huang for resolution purposes.
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| # | Trader | Total profit |
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@Fion the ‘POTY’ is the group ‘architects of AI’ which includes all those that have architected ai including jensen huang as a central example
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M$10k YES limit order at 54% if anyone is interested 👀
@EvanDaniel I seem to recall you had some interest in making "N/A shares" a first class part of the site? How would that work in this market?
@Eliza Aha, /Gabrielle/will-manifold-implement-na-shares-b
And I found another variant that is still alive:
/UnspecifiedPerson/will-manifold-implement-na-shares-b-r2ie7cxh0p
@Eliza This is similar to my proposal for a "slush fund": a side bet against the market liquidity that the market will cancel, to act as a disincentive for creators to rely on N/A and a signal about the reliability of the market. Gabrielle's is nice and dynamic tho