how many days before jim skips a day in the market with 1/1000 chance of resolving YES everyday?
how many days before jim skips a day in the market with 1/1000 chance of resolving YES everyday?
4
200Ṁ282
resolved May 21
Resolved
1 - 10
100%86%
1 - 10
3%
11-20
2%
21-30
2%
31-60
2%
61-120
2%
121-365
2%
Above 365

If jim doesn't run this market for an entire day, resolves NO. Since there is trickiness with timezones and such, I'll be pretty foregiving. If there is a possibility for jim to move to certain timezones throughout the day that makes it possible for jim to have run the command for each date that jim lives through, this market will not resolve positively. Only when there is no physical possibility for jim to have not missed a day, will this market resolve positively.

For the purposes of this market, the main market was created on May 16, so at the time of this market's creation, there has been 3 days so far. If he had not run the command throughout May 18, this market would have resolved to the range including the value "2"

  • Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator has stated they will not be checking daily to see if a day has been missed.

    • If a day is missed, they have indicated they can see this and will resolve the market retroactively.

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bought Ṁ200 1 - 10 YES27d

@Bayesian looks like it can resolve to 1-10? it has been 50+ hours since last fairlyrandom call. don't think timezone shifting can account for that

27d

@Ziddletwix lol ty

27d

😆

bought Ṁ60 1 - 10 NO1mo

Is the market description still accurate? And will you be checking everyday? Seems like a lot of work for only a few traders... Haha

1mo

@EstMtz lol i won't be checking everyday but can see it and resolve it retroactively

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