Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025? | Manifold

Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025?

18

1kṀ1063

resolved Nov 15

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gemini 3 on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated they are considering resolving this market to N/A due to ambiguity regarding style control in the resolution criteria.

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@Bayesian Style control?

@SamuelKnoche Darn i should N/A given that obvious ambiguity tbh it changes a lot

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