Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025?
18
1kṀ1063
resolved Nov 15
Resolved
N/A

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gemini 3 on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

  • Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated they are considering resolving this market to N/A due to ambiguity regarding style control in the resolution criteria.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@Bayesian Style control?

@SamuelKnoche Darn i should N/A given that obvious ambiguity tbh it changes a lot

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy