Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more riots occur in Washington, D.C., between August 1 and August 31, 2025. A "riot" is defined as a public disturbance involving an act or acts of violence by one or more persons part of an assemblage of three or more persons, which act or acts shall constitute a clear and present danger of, or shall result in, damage or injury to the property of any other person or to the person of any other individual. Verification will be based on credible news reports from reputable sources such as The Washington Post, The New York Times, or official statements from the Metropolitan Police Department of the District of Columbia.

Background

In recent months, Washington, D.C., has experienced heightened political tensions and public demonstrations. Notably, the "Hands Off" protests on April 5, 2025, saw significant participation across the nation, including large gatherings in D.C., opposing President Donald Trump's administration. (en.wikipedia.org) Additionally, the "No Kings" demonstrations in June 2025 coincided with the U.S. Army's 250th birthday celebration, drawing substantial crowds and counter-protests. (washingtonexaminer.com) These events have occasionally escalated into confrontations, leading to arrests and injuries.

Considerations

August 2025 is expected to host several significant events in Washington, D.C., which may influence public gatherings and potential unrest. While specific events in August are not detailed in the provided sources, the pattern of large-scale demonstrations in preceding months suggests a possibility of continued activism. Participants and observers should remain informed about scheduled events and monitor local news outlets for updates on public demonstrations and related activities.