How will Donald Trump die? (Add your own answer!)
40
1.6kṀ56642039
27%
❤️ Heart disease
21%
Dementia
10%
😨 Stroke
10%
9%
He dies in Mar a Lago, but details don't get public.
8%
💊 Cancer
6%
🔫 Assassination
3%
👴 Peacefully in his sleep (old age)
2%
✈️Aircraft crash
1.8%
🏊Drowning (non assasination)
1.4%
🚗 Car crash
This market will resolve when Donald Trump dies. I will wait a couple weeks for media consensus on a cause of death.
Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A Slaughterbot micro drone kill counts as assassination unless the entire operation was planned and orchestrated by an AI.
Update 2025-05-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that if the media consensus reports the cause of death as 'died of old age in his sleep', this will be accepted for market resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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