Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if by December 31, 2025:
Columbia University officially complies with this demand by placing the specified department(s) under external administrative control.
The market will resolve as NO if:
Columbia does not comply with the demand (or effectively comply with it) by December 31, 2025
Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Academic Receivership:
Window dressing: Any superficial or cosmetic modifications to the term “academic receivership” will be treated as meeting the criteria if the specified department(s) are placed under external administrative control.
This means that even if the language is altered or presented differently, it will still resolve as YES.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,195 | |
| 2 | Ṁ47 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
I'll be closing the market now that it seems to be confirmed by this page: https://president.columbia.edu/content/fulfilling-our-commitments
I am going to leave this open until things get set in stone, but barring any sudden changes, my assumption is that it will resolve YES, given recent news reports.
Any window dressing on the term “academic receivership”, as suggested by the article, will still result in a YES resolution. https://www.wsj.com/us-news/education/columbia-is-nearing-agreement-to-give-trump-what-he-wants-14315bb3?mod=breakingnews