Will Columbia accede to the government demand to put its ethnic studies departments in receivership by the end of 2025?

820Ṁ4369

resolved Mar 21

Resolved

YES

ALL

WSJ article “Columbia Nearing Agreement to Give Trump What He Wants”

+40%

Columbia signals they have agreed to demands

+20%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if by December 31, 2025:

Columbia University officially complies with this demand by placing the specified department(s) under external administrative control.

The market will resolve as NO if:

Columbia does not comply with the demand (or effectively comply with it) by December 31, 2025

Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Academic Receivership:
- Window dressing: Any superficial or cosmetic modifications to the term “academic receivership” will be treated as meeting the criteria if the specified department(s) are placed under external administrative control.
- This means that even if the language is altered or presented differently, it will still resolve as YES.

Politics

United States

Colleges & Universities

Education

Higher Education

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Follow up market: https://manifold.markets/Balasar/major-columbia-university-protests

I'll be closing the market now that it seems to be confirmed by this page: https://president.columbia.edu/content/fulfilling-our-commitments

Just a moment...

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

I am going to leave this open until things get set in stone, but barring any sudden changes, my assumption is that it will resolve YES, given recent news reports.

Any window dressing on the term “academic receivership”, as suggested by the article, will still result in a YES resolution. https://www.wsj.com/us-news/education/columbia-is-nearing-agreement-to-give-trump-what-he-wants-14315bb3?mod=breakingnews

bought Ṁ1 YES

Those demands are wild. What a horrible precedent to set up. predicted "yes" just to get updates when this market resolves, since I don't think that happens when you just "like" a market.