Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if there are major protests at Columbia University by the end of March 2025, in response to recent actions by the university administration. A "major" protest is defined as one that:

• Involves at least 1000 participants, OR

• Results in building occupations, OR

• Leads to significant police intervention or arrests, OR

• Receives substantial coverage in national news media, OR

• Involves a substantial fraction of the faculty (at least 20%) OR

• Meaningfully impedes the work environment at Columbia, as determined by the question author.

The market resolves NO if no such protests occur by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

As there is some subjectivity in the resolution criteria, I will not bet.

• Update 2025-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Substantial news coverage

  • A write-up directly received by the creator will be considered as meeting the criteria for substantial news coverage.