Which Trump opponents will face official DOJ investigations by October 1st, 2025?
Which Trump opponents will face official DOJ investigations by October 1st, 2025?
8
1.2kṀ998Apr 30
50%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
45%
Hillary Clinton
39%
Letitia James
37%
Hunter Biden
36%
Joe Biden
34%
Jack Smith
34%
Alvin Bragg
32%
Kamala Harris
31%
Merrick Garland
29%
Fani Willis
Market resolves YES for each individual/entity that has an official DOJ investigation opened against them under a Trump administration. Resolution source: Official DOJ press releases and statements (justice.gov/news).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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