By how much will the sympathies of the US public about the Israel-Palestinian conflict shift by the end of 2024?
1.5k
2025
1.6%
More than 20% more sympathetic with Israelis
2%
10-20% more sympathetic with Israelis
1.8%
5-10% more sympathetic with Israelis
2%
Less than 5% in either direction
4%
5-10% more sympathetic with Palestinians
65%
10-20% more sympathetic with Palestinians
23%
More than 20% more sympathetic with Palestinians

A recent Quinnipiac University poll (https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3884) suggested that 54 percent of Americans are more sympathetic towards Israelis in the ongoing Gaza conflict and 24 percent of Americans are more sympathetic to Palestinians. This yields relative sympathies of 30 percent in favor of Israelis. By how much will this number change in 2024? For resolution, I will try to find a poll from the same pollster that asked an equivalent question near the end of 2024. In the absence of such a poll, I will try to find a poll from a different pollster to resolve the question. Options 2, 4 and 6 include the bounds. The numbers are point change, not percent change, so 26% sympathetic towards Israelis would lead to a resolution of option 4 (less than 5% in either direction).


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