
Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?
Plus
171
á¹€37kNov 6
1.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@Joshua This question is slightly more general, but you probably already noticed that. Why it’s higher: I think that one can sometimes plead guilty to a related misdemeanor as part of a deal with prosecutors to get felony charges dropped? Seems unlikely, but maybe a couple percent.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump be convicted of any more felonies or federal crimes after the New York case, and before Election Day?
2% chance
Conditional on Donald Trump being indicted before the 2024 presidential election, will he win said election?
51% chance
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Conditional on being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election?
52% chance
Will Trump be convicted of a Felony before the presidential election, and will he win the election?
Will Trump do jail time in 2024?
9% chance
Will Donald Trump be found guilty on one or more of the 2020 Election Result federal charges?
31% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
16% chance
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance
