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MANIFOLD
Will the US announced a major (hundreds of millions plus) arms sale to Taiwan before the end of October?
22
Ṁ840Ṁ2.8k
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the US announces a new deal to sell weapons to Taiwan during October.

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_US_arms_sales_to_Taiwan

Most recent one was Sep 2, base rates are low for such a short remaining period of time.

predictedYES

@jack Agreed. Especially considering all of the other escalatory activity amiss. There has never been a trade war like the one Biden has launched in the last couple weeks with much more to come supposedly.