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MANIFOLD
Will the IDF choose not to launch a siege of Gaza before the end of October?
36
Ṁ690Ṁ7.3k
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
NO

Siege = ground offensive

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predictedNO

https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1718924497435205869

The Israeli Army penetrated 6 km deep into the central Gaza Strip, set a roadblock at the Salah Al Deen road and by this effectively cut Gaza City and the northern camps from the rest of the strip.

Is that enough?

predictedNO

Will this be resolved soon?

predictedNO

Ignoring that siege was a really poor word choice here (since you clarified that you meant the opposite in the description), what scale of attack would you consider a sufficient ground offensive @BTE ?

predictedYES

@Panfilo Question length limit prevented better options. I am talking about full offensive. Not random incursion by special forces.

predictedNO

@BTE So right now they seem to be doing escalated smaller incursions that are bigger than special forces but smaller than "full scale invasion by 300,000 reservists". Will continued sorties of 10 or 20 tanks count, or is that too small scale?

predictedYES

@Panfilo There are 10-20 tanks in Gaza right now???

predictedYES

@Panfilo Show me this

@Panfilo Wow this is nuts. Any I see. Getting close. I am watching Al Jazeera and I see it now too.

@BTE Yep, they are announcing that they are expanding this method today. A steady increase of tank attacks that strike hundreds of targets on the ground might be harder to call "full-scale" at any one moment, but it feels like what they may have meant all along?