Will the government of any country be dissolved or overthrown before April 1st?
51
318
915
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
YES

The question will be considered resolved positively if there is a significant and involuntary change in the government of a country due to internal political upheaval, external military intervention, or other unforeseen circumstances, as confirmed by credible sources such as news organizations or official government statements, before April 1st Examples of such changes may include a military coup, political impeachment, a popular uprising, or a foreign invasion that results in the overthrow or dissolution of the government.

The question will also be considered resolved positively if a sitting prime minister or president dissolves the government and calls for new elections due to internal political upheaval or other unforeseen circumstances, as confirmed by credible sources such as news organizations or official government statements, before April 1st.

The question will be considered resolved negatively if there is no significant and involuntary change in the government of any country due to internal political upheaval, external military intervention, or other unforeseen circumstances before April 1. If there are minor changes, such as a reshuffle of cabinet members or a change in prime minister or president that does not result in a significant change in government policy or structure, the question will still be considered resolved negatively.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

Looks like this happened in Haiti yesterday. Any objections to this resolving YES?

bought Ṁ4,960 YES

No objections — it seems pretty clear-cut that this would resolve YES

This other market resolving positively would mean a Yes here as well, since ousting a PM means the whole government is dissolved and a new one must be nominated.

@Mattfr France is not a country run by the Prime Minister. France is setup much more like the US with a Chief Executive in the President. So this is an edge case that I think should be NO. What do you think @Gen ?

@BTE The French president can oust the sitting PM.

Per your resolution criteria: “The question will also be considered resolved positively if a sitting prime minister or president dissolves the government and calls for new elections due to internal political upheaval or other unforeseen circumstances […]”.

These seem to both trigger on the same condition then.

@Mattfr The president can only ask for her resignation in this situation, not dissolve the government. And the PM can also resign without calling for a new election or dissolving the entire parliament. But it’s a possibility.

predicted YES

@BTE I have no idea about the French government, I don’t have any useful input here 😅

@BTE So it sounds like to resolve YES that both conditions of the PM to be ousted and the parliament to be dissolved, right?

bought Ṁ0 of YES
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