Will Tesla Full Self Driving reach 500K users by the end of 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

We know how many have purchased the service because of the recall last week, roughly 362,000. I suspect Tesla will dramatically drop the price of FSD to get more users based on the idea that then the system will improve faster. Will 138,000 more Tesla owners pay to be guinea pigs for Musk by the end of 2023?

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You should clarify that this is the "FSD Beta" of their cruise control software. Technically 0 cars have FSD, as a super hyper omega important Venture Manaist, I need these details to be exact as I meticulously build my empire of absolutely nothing. :P

I'm also curious if they'll just start including it in CPO flips when they do the price drop.

predicted YES

@isocuda technically FSD Beta is a program which allows people to get an early access to current version of FSD in development.

@Berg Thanks, I had a few conflicting statements from Teslatoids. With that confirmed I'm leaning towards yes for Stable installs.

predicted YES

How does this resolve if the user count is not released, but it may have crossed 500K?

predicted NO

@ShadowyZephyr Apparently they have 400,000 in North America so it is very plausible they could do it between NA, EU and China. I will determine based on the first reliable figure to come out after the year is over. So if there is a new NTSB recall in 2024 I will resolve based on the number of vehicles recalled. I can keep the question open until a resolution is reached if that is desirable to bettors.

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