Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
Plus
57
Ṁ86482032
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Gigacasting Oh I see, I don't lose anymore that if I resolve N/A and that would be a dick move. Right?
@BTE seems like a bit of a breach of trust. Questions should mean what they say. The answer is *probably* no, but a constitutional amendment *could* happen. Most honest resolution is to just leave the question open until the close date.
@MattP I was just thinking about the possibility of an amendment that changed that. It is close to zero, but who knows I guess. I suppose if JD Vance ever runs for president it would effectively be like Thiel running by proxy...
If Obama can afford a fake birth certificate (cost: https://www.nbcnews.com/usnews/health-director-who-approved-obama-birth-certificate-dies-plane-crash-2d11732106), certainly Peter can 🤔
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
6% chance
Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?
5% chance
Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.
21% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
25% chance
Will Peter Thiel run for any elected government office this decade?
9% chance
Will Peter Thiel receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?
50% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
25% chance
Will Elon Musk die before Peter Thiel?
56% chance
Will Peter Thiel employ a food taster for him by EOY 2030?
26% chance
Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?
99% chance