Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States? | Manifold

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

61

1kṀ8669

2032

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House.

🇺🇸 US Politics

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Lmao https://twitter.com/SpecialPuppy1/status/1592322083228647424?s=20&t=rPCpgJ31ov7sk1-vUv9QNw

I am thinking about resolving this N/A. What does everyone else think about that?

Outright transfer of wealth from the traders here (130 bets placed) to you who bought all the YES in the 30s 🤔

@Gigacasting I have lost -$414 on this market.

@Gigacasting Oh I see, I don't lose anymore that if I resolve N/A and that would be a dick move. Right?

@BTE seems like a bit of a breach of trust. Questions should mean what they say. The answer is *probably* no, but a constitutional amendment *could* happen. Most honest resolution is to just leave the question open until the close date.

@MattP I was just thinking about the possibility of an amendment that changed that. It is close to zero, but who knows I guess. I suppose if JD Vance ever runs for president it would effectively be like Thiel running by proxy...

He's not a natural born US citizen and isn't eligible for the presidency

@KevinKwok thanks for letting me know that. Never even occurred to me.

predictedYES

If Obama can afford a fake birth certificate (cost: https://www.nbcnews.com/usnews/health-director-who-approved-obama-birth-certificate-dies-plane-crash-2d11732106), certainly Peter can 🤔

predictedNO

@Gigacasting Sad to see people believe that racist bullshit still

Trying the republican nomination count?

Related questions

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?

Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.

Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.

Will Peter Thiel receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Will Peter Thiel run for any elected government office this decade?

Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Peter thiel win the nobel prize

Will Jeff Bezos ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Related questions

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?

Will Peter Thiel run for any elected government office this decade?

Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.

Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?

Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Peter Thiel receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Will Peter thiel win the nobel prize

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Will Jeff Bezos ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules