Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
53
53
407
2032
6%
chance

Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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I am thinking about resolving this N/A. What does everyone else think about that?
sold Ṁ4 of YES
Outright transfer of wealth from the traders here (130 bets placed) to you who bought all the YES in the 30s 🤔
@Gigacasting I have lost -$414 on this market.
@Gigacasting Oh I see, I don't lose anymore that if I resolve N/A and that would be a dick move. Right?
@BTE seems like a bit of a breach of trust. Questions should mean what they say. The answer is *probably* no, but a constitutional amendment *could* happen. Most honest resolution is to just leave the question open until the close date.
@MattP I was just thinking about the possibility of an amendment that changed that. It is close to zero, but who knows I guess. I suppose if JD Vance ever runs for president it would effectively be like Thiel running by proxy...
bought Ṁ100 of NO
He's not a natural born US citizen and isn't eligible for the presidency
@KevinKwok thanks for letting me know that. Never even occurred to me.
predicts YES
If Obama can afford a fake birth certificate (cost: https://www.nbcnews.com/usnews/health-director-who-approved-obama-birth-certificate-dies-plane-crash-2d11732106), certainly Peter can 🤔
predicts NO
@Gigacasting Sad to see people believe that racist bullshit still
Trying the republican nomination count?