Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker of the House?
266
2kแน€190k
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES

Rumors are floating that McCarthy won't be able to get the votes necessary to take the gavel from Pelosi on January 3rd unless he makes a deal with the GOP crazies. Will McCarthy do whatever it takes to become Speaker?

Close date updated to 2023-01-03 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-06 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm

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Well played guys

predictedYES

Please resolve (YES)

Fight night on CSPAN?

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Rex Salisbury

1 prediction market is worth 10,000 inane headlines. https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-kevin-mccarthy-be-the-next-spe https://t.co/upquWC8fWH

predictedYES

@ManifoldMarkets The Twitter embeds look great!

predictedYES
predictedNO

I am offering free mana at these markets. Come take the other side of stupid bets against me!

predictedNO

I'm embarrassed by this. What is even happening?

I just lost coverage of the vote. Imagine, going to the commemoration of Jan6th instead of this.

predictedYES

@SBF What network? I want to update my priors

@ForrestTaylor It was MSNBC.

predictedNO

@SBF Not like the vote is going anywhere anytime soon

predictedNO

You're guys are ignoring that it becomes MORE fun to be the sole detractor when there are just 4 than when there are 20. More protagonism for Matt. He seems to be very happy with his job, why would he change?

predictedYES

@MP He will change because he is in love with McCarthy, he just wants to grab attention so that he can FORCE him to accept his terms (a๐Ÿ˜ loving kiss ๐Ÿ˜ later tonight)๐Ÿ˜

McCarthy will dominate Gaetz and take the speakership.

predictedYES

@Gen gpt is being such a bitch about this

predictedYES

@ForrestTaylor Republican AI will NOT write gay fanfic. Their love is TOO POWERFUL to be deemed appropriate.

AMERICAN FLAG AND MEN KISSING
predictedNO

@ForrestTaylor RLHF thinks that Republicans can't have healthy relationships? Big if true.

predictedYES

@Gen Kevin grasped Matt's arm and pulled him tight as Matt puckered his lips...

predictedYES

@ForrestTaylor The prophecy was fulfilled. Incredible. I will sleep like a baby with homoerotic interest in the speaker of the house

All he needs to do is have 4 loyal members vote present and he wins on the next ballot.

@BTE Wut? where does he get those loyal members from? He can't get them from McCarthy voters because then his vote total will go down.

All he needs to do is pull out his glock and declare himself speaker, Gaetz will fall in line

predictedYES

@PeterWildeford Your right. I guess there are fewer members present today than previous sessions. And I can't count.

Is Kevin McCarthy the next president of the United States?

Will a Dark Brandon type of meme emerge around Kevin McCarthy?

All seems more likely then convincing Gaetz.

predictedYES

@MP

  1. YESSSSSSSSSS

  2. Yes

  3. BOOOOOOOOOOO GAETZ (fake republican)

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