Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker of the House?
266
172
2K
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES

Rumors are floating that McCarthy won't be able to get the votes necessary to take the gavel from Pelosi on January 3rd unless he makes a deal with the GOP crazies. Will McCarthy do whatever it takes to become Speaker?

Close date updated to 2023-01-03 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-06 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm

Get Ṁ200 play money

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sold Ṁ43 of NO

Well played guys

predicted YES

Please resolve (YES)

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Fight night on CSPAN?

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Rex Salisbury

1 prediction market is worth 10,000 inane headlines. https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-kevin-mccarthy-be-the-next-spe https://t.co/upquWC8fWH

predicted YES

@ManifoldMarkets The Twitter embeds look great!

predicted YES
predicted NO

I am offering free mana at these markets. Come take the other side of stupid bets against me!

predicted NO

I'm embarrassed by this. What is even happening?

bought Ṁ13 of NO

I just lost coverage of the vote. Imagine, going to the commemoration of Jan6th instead of this.

predicted YES

@SBF What network? I want to update my priors

bought Ṁ25 of NO

@ForrestTaylor It was MSNBC.

predicted NO

@SBF Not like the vote is going anywhere anytime soon

predicted NO

You're guys are ignoring that it becomes MORE fun to be the sole detractor when there are just 4 than when there are 20. More protagonism for Matt. He seems to be very happy with his job, why would he change?

predicted YES

@MP He will change because he is in love with McCarthy, he just wants to grab attention so that he can FORCE him to accept his terms (a😍 loving kiss 😍 later tonight)😍

McCarthy will dominate Gaetz and take the speakership.

predicted YES

@Gen gpt is being such a bitch about this

predicted YES

@ForrestTaylor Republican AI will NOT write gay fanfic. Their love is TOO POWERFUL to be deemed appropriate.

AMERICAN FLAG AND MEN KISSING
predicted NO

@ForrestTaylor RLHF thinks that Republicans can't have healthy relationships? Big if true.

predicted YES

@Gen Kevin grasped Matt's arm and pulled him tight as Matt puckered his lips...

predicted YES

@ForrestTaylor The prophecy was fulfilled. Incredible. I will sleep like a baby with homoerotic interest in the speaker of the house

bought Ṁ100 of YES

All he needs to do is have 4 loyal members vote present and he wins on the next ballot.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@BTE Wut? where does he get those loyal members from? He can't get them from McCarthy voters because then his vote total will go down.

bought Ṁ87 of YES

All he needs to do is pull out his glock and declare himself speaker, Gaetz will fall in line

predicted YES

@PeterWildeford Your right. I guess there are fewer members present today than previous sessions. And I can't count.

bought Ṁ113 of NO

Is Kevin McCarthy the next president of the United States?

Will a Dark Brandon type of meme emerge around Kevin McCarthy?

All seems more likely then convincing Gaetz.

predicted YES

@MP

  1. YESSSSSSSSSS

  2. Yes

  3. BOOOOOOOOOOO GAETZ (fake republican)