Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?
Plus
10
แน11432055
1.8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Kevin McCarthy (current speaker of the House of Representatives as of October 2023) is elected President of the United States in a normal presidential election cycle.
Resolves NO if Kevin McCarthy ever becomes permanently ineligible or incapable of being elected president.
Does not resolve upon Kevin McCarthy assuming the presidency by another means such as the order of succession.
Resolves N/A if the United States ceases to exist, the Presidency is substantially abolished, or the de facto reality is that the Presidency is chosen through an undemocratic or unconstitutional mechanism. For the purposes of this market, the current Electoral College is considered a democratic and constitutional mechanism.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kevin McCarthy serve in a political position within the next year?
19% chance
Will Kevin McCarthy serve as unelected U.S. President before January 21, 2025?
1% chance
Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?
12% chance
Will former US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy be announced as Trump's Chief of Staff.
15% chance
Will Kevin McCarthy be re-elected as Speaker of the House in the 118th congress
2% chance
Will Kevin McCarthy become House speaker again before 2026?
3% chance