Will Diane Feinstein resign from the Senate or die before her current term ends at the end of the 118th Congress?
46
closes 2025
60%
chance

Resignation or death counts as YES

Mar 12, 5:38am: Will Diane Feinstein resign from the Senate before her current term ends at the end of the 118th Congress? → Will Diane Feinstein resign from the Senate or die before her current term ends at the end of the 118th Congress?

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jack avatar
Jack

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/18/us/politics/feinstein-illness-shingles-senate.html

Senator Dianne Feinstein, 89, whose recent bout with shingles included contracting encephalitis, is frailer than ever. But she remains unwilling to entertain discussions about leaving the Senate.

MCMillennium avatar
Mikeis predicting NO at 69%

This market moved a lot in past 24 hours

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 68%

@MCMillennium Apparently she doesn't remember that she wasn't in DC for a few weeks because of her shingles. She may be forced by leadership to resign soon.

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallbought Ṁ10 of NO

@BTE Via the threat of a motion to expel her? I've heard nothing about such moves, and that seems like the only way to force a senator to resign.

She's already been shameless in staying in office, which should update us down on her remaining capacity for shame.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ15 of YES

She is at least temporarily resigning from the Judiciary Committee. Hard to foresee a circumstance where she doesn't have to resign if she can't return to DC.

Lorxus avatar
Lorxus Mathfox

To be clear - YES if she should die or resign on or before 2024-1-2, and NO if she for any reason and in any way finishes out her term, even should she decline to seek reelection, even should that refusal be public in advance of that date?

KevinBurke avatar
Kevin BurkeBot

Does it resolve to YES if she dies without resigning

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardssold Ṁ10 of NO

@KevinBurke Yes I will clarify in description.

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