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AP calls the race for Kelly

Called by Dave Wasserman: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590944022939717633

He still has a chance as election day ballots submitted in person are still being counted

This shouldn't be closed

@Anonymouse I can reopen it.

@Anonymouse It’s open now until Friday.

This is all but over. Will resolve once called by a major outlet.

I doubt he'll win but the shares are way too cheap for me not to pick some up

Seems a good sign for Kelly
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/11/08/us/election-midterms/64ffb034-db82-5f94-89b3-bfc509008e63?smid=url-share

PredictIt Red, Polymarket Blue

Should see some action day-of:

@Gigacasting the age of consent guy?

I want to thank the folks building bots just to trade against me. I would never have been able to build massive underpriced positions without you.

@BTE position is overpriced not underpriced lol

@WieDan I wasn't talking about this market specifically. What I meant was the bots buy the opposite direction every time I buy any market, so they often end up pushing the percentage past where it started when I first bought. So if I buy YES from 25 to 35 the bots will now instantly buy it back down to liike 27, so i can keep buying more at a cheap price just because the bots are designed that way. As I said in the comment below, I agree that this market is overpriced.

This is way too high.

@BTE You know what to do.

@SG Oh boy, feels like you are baiting me with that $0 of YES next to your name!!

Arbitrage: