Will any refugees be allowed to leave Gaza by the end of October?
59
268
970
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO

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resolves?

This was a close one, people are being allowed to leave to Egypt for medical treatment right now

predicted NO

@YotamFederman it's not october right now tho

predicted NO

@Stralor doh, I see your point!

@Stralor There was a moment I thought it might count by a different timezone, but decided it's too risky to bet against.

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@YotamFederman :) yeah, makes sense. but it's november in most of the world, and most critically in Gaza

predicted NO

I think we can resolve this one

bought Ṁ20 of YES

😢

Is there a reason this is so high? Apparently American palestinians can't get out: https://manifold.markets/Haws/will-any-palestinianamerican-be-all

And it doesn't seem like it's already happened, so is there confidence this will happen in the next few days?

"allowed" is interesting. will they? yes, they'll find a way. but will they be allowed to by israel? idk. by egypt? maybe?