BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwards
closes Jan 1, 2026
If Trump is charged with a crime will he claim it is because of a racist prosecutor?
89%
chance

Resolves YES if it happens. NO if not.

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BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ75 of YES

I can’t believe people are betting against this when he is already doing this preemptively. Happily take your mana. I saw someone say the other day “here bot, bot, bot”….

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallbought Ṁ10 of YES

https://www.wionews.com/world/ny-top-prosecutor-files-financial-fraud-lawsuit-against-trump-his-children-ex-prez-dubs-it-a-witch-hunt-518517/amp

Hitting back at James, Donald Trump referred to the legal action against his family and real estate company as "another witch hunt" and dubbed the Black attorney general a "racist."

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallis predicting YES at 65%

So I think this resolves Yes.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 65%

@MartinRandall I actually had a market that already resolved on whether or not Trump would claim to be a victim of racism that didn’t mention being charged with a crime and he did it within an hour of me creating it. This one requires a crime to be charged, but Letitia James didn’t charge him with a crime. She sued him in civil court. The AG can’t prosecute the crimes he is alleged to have committed in criminal court because it’s not part of her jurisdiction.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 65%

@MartinRandall I bet he doesn’t stop making this claim so once he is charged I am confident this will resolve YES.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ50 of YES

@MartinRandall I honestly can’t understand why anyone would bet NO on this.

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallis predicting YES at 75%

@BTE Hmm. I thought financial fraud was a crime, even though he's not being charged in criminal court. I suppose the distinction is that he's being "sued" for a crime but not "charged" with a crime.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ40 of YES

@MartinRandall Fair point. I agree that is the important distinction here.