Has the Moscow Massacre materially raised the likelihood of Putin using tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine?
33
Never closes
Yes
No
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?
14% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
8% chance
Will Russia issue an ultimatum this year for a ceasefire agreement, using the threat of tactical nuclear weapons?
17% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
20% chance
Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?
87% chance
Will Russia threaten non-Ukrainian cities with a small nuclear attack before 2025?
17% chance
Will Russia detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024?
3% chance
Will Putin escalate to using nuclear weapons by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
8% chance