Will at least 8.0% of the U.S. population smoke cigarettes in 2030?
5
17
150
2029
44%
chance

In 2020, according to the CDC, 12.5% of the US population smoked cigarettes.

Will at least 8.0% of the U.S. population smoke cigarettes in 2030, as reported by the CDC, in the BRFSS or other data?

https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/adult_data/cig_smoking/index.htm

Resolves YES if 8.0% (rounded to 1 d.p., so >=7.950000%) or more smoke cigarettes, or NO otherwise, using BRFSS data if it is available, or if not, the figure used most prominently by the CDC.

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