Is it ever acceptable for market creators on manifold to bet on their own markets?
31
resolved Jan 7
Yes, it's generally fine
Yes, before others have bet or to set initial probabilities
No, it is never or hardly ever acceptable
Yes, but only before anyone else has bet on a market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Insider trading is bad but a norm of not trading wouldn't actually prevent it. Even if we reliably detected the use of alt accounts with subsequent managrams or thrown markets to their main account, They could give just give the insider info to friends.
Idk, actually I think if we had enough norms/analyses/information services like this then it might actually be possible to solve insider trading. But I don't think we're going to get there by hoping and incrementing.
@CamillePerrin Yeah I agree, but not for the reasons @B listed. I think it's fine if creator doesn't control resolution criteria I.E "Will I do this thing today." That creates foggy situations and when they are profiting hundreds of mana it's questionable.
People are also trading
Related questions
Should market creators on manifold avoid ever betting on their own markets?
39% chance
When will manifold do/have done anything about market creators betting on their own markets?
Is betting on your own markets acceptable?
POLL
If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?
31% chance