By 2030, Europeans can buy a 4-door electric vehicle with 350km range for under €23k
12
1kṀ519
2030
84%
chance
  • Under €23 000 inflation adjusted to 2023 prices using the HICP - Overall index (this will probably mean a Jan 1 2030 price of about €26 000-€28 000 in contemporaneous prices)

  • after any government incentives are applied

I mean something competitive with combustion engines for the average driver, so I define it like:

  • must have four doors--two in the front and two in the back (so no Mini Cooper SE)

  • must go for at least 350 km (2023 mini cooper also fails this one)

  • must be road-legal

  • must be readily available, with consumers actually purchasing cars, so at least 10 000 year-to-date purchases, or at least 2 500 purchases in the latest quarter

  • new vehicles only

  • top speed over 100 km/h

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