
Will AGI figure out a quantilizer of which people roughly continued most to its global computation?
2
Ṁ90Ṁ302060
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will we get AGI before 2031?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2048?
84% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
71% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
66% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
74% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
38% chance
Sort by:
@stochasticcockatoo Can you please extend this market? I see you have been active. So asking before I extend it or another mod.
@SirCryptomind I think the market should be extended instead since there isn't (as far as I can tell) an unambiguous "AGI" yet.
@cockathiel is this specifically by the end of the year, or just in general?
(ChatGPT says it doesn't know what kind of people contributed to its training data.)
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2031?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2048?
84% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
71% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
66% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
74% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
38% chance