Will a World War II veteran live to see AGI?
51
Ṁ1kṀ5.1k2060
43%
chance
27
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2032
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
49% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
38% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before WW3?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
75% chance
What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040?
Sort by:
This is possibly the youngest WW2 vet. He's currently 92. Make of that what you will https://www.kens5.com/article/news/local/i-would-do-it-all-over-americas-youngest-wwii-veteran-was-sent-to-war-at-age-14/273-ec611ab7-6a10-4bf8-b174-c129f1e039e7
@jonsimon To put a finer point on it, if the youngest living vet (currently 92) lived to be as old as the oldest man alive (currently 113), then that would give him 21 more years of life. That requires AGI being created before 2046, in this extremely optimistic scenario.
People are also trading
Related questions
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2032
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
49% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
38% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before WW3?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
75% chance
What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040?