Will Manifold offer a perpetual swap this year?
20
180Ṁ4910
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO
Perpetual swaps are financial wizardry that let people bet on the value of any asset. Manifold could eg. offer a SOL/M$ perpetual swap contract, tracking some known SOL oracle - and then people could have their portfolio track the price of SOL. See https://medium.com/derivadex/what-are-perpetual-swaps-130236587df2 It's a much more elegant way of phrasing almost all the questions on eg "Will TSLA close above $710", because now you can directly invest in TSLA instead. The demand for this is proven by things like https://manifold.markets/tag/economics Other usages: - Perp swaps on eg the portfolio value of a particular Manifold trader would allow you to directly bet on how that trader is performing - Perp swaps on Elon Musk's tweet count would allow you to speculate on Elon tweeting more or less often than he does today Questions: - Is there a mathematical equivalence between perp swaps and numeric markets? - Or with binary CPMMs, perhaps continuously resolved?
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