Will Manifold natively support "committing to actions" within 6 months?

Reasons to do this: We've actually seen this particular use case picking up steam among users: - https://manifold.markets/misha/will-i-finish-a-triathlon-4ea28f3c991e - https://manifold.markets/guzey/will-i-create-at-least-one-more-pre - https://manifold.markets/misha/will-i-stick-with-assigning-probabi Also, one of our most ardent supporters is @dreev, the founder of Beeminder. I think Beeminder is counterfactually responsible for about 1 more blog post and 2 exercise sessions since I started ~2 months ago; I've also paid them ~$100 in fees, which seemed easily worth it. Also, commitment devices are a great way of managing acausal trade: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ndvguMbcdAMXzTHJG/what-we-owe-the-past Also, @Sinclair has been musing about managing reputation/flakiness/commitment publicly via markets on eg "Will I actually show up to the party I said I was for sure going to go to?" Reasons not to do this: - More complexity is bad (very good reason!!) - Not enough dev time to get to - ???

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