What % of EA full-time employees SHOULD be working on "structural capital" in the next year?
0
9
Ṁ50
resolved May 13
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Prompted by https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/dr4yccYeH6Zs7J82s/p/XeADodQvLvPTHcYZe
In the next 12 months (roughly now to May 2023), how many EA FTE should work on things like:
- functional and scalable processes,
- competent management,
- suitable legal status and backing,
- good operations support,
- well designed spaces,
- well written code.
To be clear, things I would NOT consider to be structural capital include any of:
- Financial capital (fundraising, donating)
- Human capital (recruiting, spreading EA)
- Network capital (thought leadership, research, blogging)
This is an informational market (see https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/information-markets-decision-markets?s=r ); will ultimately be just my own take, but I'm happy to be persuaded based on your comments!
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
39% chance
Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in Q4 2025?
50% chance
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
31% chance
Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in 2030?
44% chance
Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
57% chance
In 2025, what percentage of EAs are non-male?
34% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
30% chance
How much will AI advances impact EA research effectiveness, by 2030?
Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
23% chance
If AI doesn't destroy humanity, what proportion of future value (relative to 2023 EAs' CEV) will be attained?
40% chance