On what day will our baby be born?
61
19kṀ370kresolved Jul 6
100%98%
Jul 6
0.0%
Jun 26
0.0%
Jun 27
0.0%
Jun 28
0.1%
Jun 29
0.1%
Jun 30
0.1%
Jul 1
0.1%
Jul 2
0.1%
Jul 3
0.1%
Jul 4
0.1%
Jul 5
0.7%
Jul 7
0.1%
Jul 8
0.1%
Jul 9
0.1%
Jul 10
0.1%
Jul 11
0.1%
Jul 12
0.1%
Jul 13
0.1%Other
Rachel's due date is July 1st; here you can gamble predict exactly which day our baby will come out! Resolves to the day, in Pacific Time, when she decides to show up.
A more granular version of /Austin/when-will-our-first-child-be-born . Other related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ250 YES
Dilated to 3cm at last measurement (9am)
Edit: First measurement at Jul 5 4:40am was 2cm
sold Ṁ18 YES
happy Due Date Day 🧡 hope you're all feeling good
From https://datayze.com/labor-probability-calculator:
As of right now, Jul 7th is the modal (most likely) day of spontaneous labor, and also the median (we expect that ~50% of labors to have started before then). Note that labor != birth, though; a first labor like this one can be expected to take 12-24h.