When will our first child be born?
47
2.7kṀ46kresolved Jul 11
100%99.5%
H2 2024
0.1%
H2 2025
0.1%
2027 or later
0.1%
H1 2026
0.1%
H1 2025
0.1%
H2 2026
0.2%
H1 2024
Resolves to the half year (in local time) when @rachel and my child is born.
H1 refers to January through Jun; H2 is July through December.
Has to be a birth of a child we consider ours. Adoptions don't count; 50% parentage would if we get a surrogate mother or sperm donor for a child that we raise.
Resolves to "2027 or later" if we still don't have a child by the end of 2026.
We're currently thinking about having our first child after a couple years of being married, balancing the desire for Rachel to settle into her career vs the desire to have 4+ kids and the uncertainty about AI timelines.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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