Do I have covid?
16
44
Ṁ110
resolved May 12
Resolved
YES
Or will I test positive in the next 3 days? I've taken two rapid antigen tests administered by the OPH hotel staff, ~3 days ago and today; both came up negative. I've been having a slight cough and fever/tiredness. About to take another rapid test myself. Might just be some other non-COVID sickness, or might all be in my head (too much talking & sun exposure?)
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Oh yeah I did get a PCR and then a third negative RAT test. Was basically convinced after test 2 but felt like I might as well wait for the PCR lol
predicted NO
At what point will you be convinced? PCR? Hope you get better anyway!
... Instead of taking another rapid antigen test, I should have just consulted this market. (The second test came up positive)
sold Ṁ0 of NO
So I did test positive earlier today; but might be a false positive? Not super likely tho
bought Ṁ60 of YES
Insider trading.
predicted NO
That's a good idea, I'll try one tomorrow. (they're only available between 9 and 11 afaict)
bought Ṁ100 of YES
Can u take a PCR test. There is an option to in the lobby
predicted NO
But it's very possible it's just a flu or cold or something. Will test again in a few hours!
bought Ṁ5 of YES
In my defense, I actually DID get covid once about a year ago; and 3 people in the EA Bahamas have tested positive out of ~30 in the last week https://manifold.markets/Austin/how-many-ea-bahamas-folks-will-repo
bought Ṁ50 of NO
Everyone always thinks they have COVID every time they ever get sick for the past two years, but that's not how the world is.
bought Ṁ15 of NO
Tested negative again, but I still have all the symptoms. Plan is to test daily for the next 3 days, and tamp down on socialization (unless it's outdoors)

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