How many EA Bahamas folks will report positive COVID tests on Slack within a week?

16

resolved May 11

4 to 6

Chosen

98.3%

7 to 9

1.0%

1 to 3

0.4%

10+

0.1%

For context, Sinclair just tested positive: https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/how-many-manifold-team-members-in-t
We've spent the last day in the EA Bahamas office, including on a bus from the office to the hotel packed with about 15 total folks. I'd estimate there to be 30ish total EA Bahamas people atm.

# 🏅 Top traders

# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|

1 | Ṁ360 | |

2 | Ṁ48 | |

3 | Ṁ26 | |

4 | Ṁ17 | |

5 | Ṁ4 |

Sort by:

4 total now! Wish we had shorting FR answers implemented so I could bet that down @JamesGrugett

I'm guessing this doesn't count Linch since he was positive before this question was asked, but has only posted negative results after?

Inclusive of the Manifold team!
Fwiw: nobody else I know of has reported a positive test, and I think most everyone has taken a test.

A trader sold Ṁ56 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 at 96%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 95% to 96%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 94% to 95%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 92% to 94%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 90% to 92%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 86% to 90%

A trader sold Ṁ14 4 to 6 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ124 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ4 4 to 6 at 79%

A trader bought Ṁ1 7 to 9 at 18%

A trader sold Ṁ1 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ1 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ16 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ17 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ164 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ5 4 to 6 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ10 4 to 6 at 70%

A trader sold Ṁ2 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ25 7 to 9 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ5 4 to 6 at 69%

A trader bought Ṁ20 7 to 9 from 28% to 29%

A trader sold Ṁ1 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ200 7 to 9 from 18% to 28%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 70% to 79%

A trader bought Ṁ150 7 to 9 from 17% to 26%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 66% to 78%

A trader bought Ṁ150 7 to 9 from 14% to 26%

A trader bought Ṁ500 4 to 6 from 58% to 77%

A trader bought Ṁ20 7 to 9 from 23% to 26%

A trader bought Ṁ100 4 to 6 from 53% to 60%

A trader bought Ṁ20 7 to 9 from 25% to 27%

A trader bought Ṁ50 7 to 9 from 18% to 25%

A trader bought Ṁ20 7 to 9 from 16% to 18%

A trader bought Ṁ100 4 to 6 from 54% to 62%

A trader sold Ṁ0 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ39 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ30 7 to 9 from 13% to 17%

A trader bought Ṁ30 4 to 6 from 50% to 53%

A trader sold Ṁ41 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ11 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader sold Ṁ22 1 to 3 at 0.0%

A trader bought Ṁ50 1 to 3 from 29% to 35%

A trader bought Ṁ5 10+ from 1.9% to 3%

A trader bought Ṁ30 7 to 9 from 8% to 13%

A trader bought Ṁ30 7 to 9 from 2% to 8%

A trader bought Ṁ50 4 to 6 from 49% to 54%

A trader bought Ṁ1 4 to 6 at 49%

A trader bought Ṁ50 4 to 6 from 43% to 49%

A trader bought Ṁ5 4 to 6 at 43%

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