How many EA Bahamas folks will report positive COVID tests on Slack within a week?
Resolved
May 11
M$7,331 bet
For context, Sinclair just tested positive: https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/how-many-manifold-team-members-in-t We've spent the last day in the EA Bahamas office, including on a bus from the office to the hotel packed with about 15 total folks. I'd estimate there to be 30ish total EA Bahamas people atm.
4 to 6
Chosen
98.3%
Austin
Austin answered
7 to 9
1.0%
Austin
Austin answered
1 to 3
0.4%
Austin
Austin answered
10+
0.1%
Austin
4 to 6
98.3%
Austin
7 to 9
1.0%
Austin
1 to 3
0.4%
Austin
10+
0.1%
General Comments
Austin

Austin 16 days ago

5 now (yours truly is the latest victim)
Austin

Austin 18 days ago

4 total now! Wish we had shorting FR answers implemented so I could bet that down @JamesGrugett
Austin

Austin 19 days ago

Update: We've now hit 3 total reports.
Austin

Austin 19 days ago

Yup, Linch is excluded
Sinclair

Sinclair Chen 21 days ago

I'm guessing this doesn't count Linch since he was positive before this question was asked, but has only posted negative results after?
Austin

Austin 21 days ago

Inclusive of the Manifold team! Fwiw: nobody else I know of has reported a positive test, and I think most everyone has taken a test.
JarredFilmer

Jarred Filmer 22 days ago

Is this excluding the manifold team?