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MANIFOLD
Did Austin ACTUALLY have the most referrals in July?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ200
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
N/A

There's some reason to believe that I improperly resolved this market; if we go ahead and actually check by querying our Firestore db, will I be validated?

My decision process was "count current referrals as of today" mixed with "eh the MKT seems to think this was correct" but people seem mad because maybe this was wrong. I think there's like an 80% chance at least this was correct though, curious to se what the market thinks.

Sinclair has proposed going and writing this script to check; but really anyone can and then insider trade on this market.

Aug 31, 12:34am: Did Austin ACTUALLY have had the most referrals in July? → Did Austin ACTUALLY have the most referrals in July?

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Not mad, just noting the data for informing future bets on your/Manifold account's markets, that's all.

There should be a referral leaderboard!!

if people want to front-run us before I start to work tomorrow:

The only historical data of referrals I know of are in the txns document or in notifications. Probably go with the former. Don't think there's an api for txns.
Don't think there's a simple firebase query for this, probably have to write a script to calculate it.

predictedNO

(I may be yet convinced that I should punt on calculating this until after other tasks)